IS THE INVERTED-U HYPOTHESIS REALLY A "CATASTROPHE"?
 
DANIEL M. LANDERS AND MARC LOCHBAUM
ARIZONA STATE UNIVERSITY
 
Among the criticisms lodged against the inverted-U relationship between arousal and performance has been that it "does not fit anecdotal evidence from the field of sport psychology which suggests that this relationship should not be symmetrical" (Hardy, 1990).  Based on this "impression of the literature," Hardy and Fazey (1987) created a complex multidimensional "catastrophe" theory, which they believed better explained their belief that when performers go over the top of the inverted-U curve, performance "drops dramatically rather than gradually."  The purpose of this study was to demonstrate that Hardy and Fazey's (1987) initial belief was flawed by attributing lack of asymmetry to theoretical shortcomings instead of more obvious methodological limitations associated with tests of the inverted-U hypothesis.  Studies in this research literature have only manipulated between 3-5 levels of arousal and most often these levels have not been normalized to maximum arousal.  To illustrate what would happen  to the shape of the inverted-U when seven levels of arousal are manipulated (13, 25, 40, 50, 75, 89% of maximum arousal), a secondary analysis of 62 effect sizes (N = 310) derived from 7 cognitive performance studies was undertaken.  The results of this analysis showed that the performance decrement following 50% of maximum arousal (i.e., the right side of the inverted-U) resembled a more gradual decline instead of the "cliff-like" drop that is predicted by catastrophe theory with subjects' cognitive anxiety is dominant over self-confidence.  It is concluded that when methodological problems associated with tests of the inverted-U hypothesis are eliminated, the overall results summed across anxious/nonanxious subjects shows no support for the fundamental premise underlying predictions of catastrophe theory.  It is recommended that future research testing the inverted-U hypothesis and catastrophe theory employ research designs which include high and low congitively anxious subjects and also include at least seven or more levels of arousal that are normalized to a well-recognized stardard of maximum arousal or tension.

Journal of Sport & Exercise Psychology: 1998 NASPSPA Abstracts, 20(June Supplement), S16.