CLAS

Gerardo Chowell
Assistant Professor
School of Human Evolution and Social Change
Arizona State University
Tempe, AZ-85282
SHESC

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Research

Chowell's current research on mathematical modeling of the spread of infectious diseases can be mainly classified under two categories namely the transmission dynamics of Influenza and dengue. Further details about his recent research are given below in the form of research highlights. Clicking on the hyperlinks will direct the reader to research highlights.

To know more about the research done by Dr.Chowell, read his complete list of research publications.

His current areas of research include

Research publications in the field of transmission dynamics of Seasonal Influenza

Research publications in the field of transmission dynamics of Pandemic Influenza

Research publications in the field of transmission dynamics of Dengue

  • G. Chowell, P. Diaz-Duenas, J.C. Miller, P.W. Fenimore, J.M. Hyman, C. Castillo-Chavez. Estimation of the reproduction number of dengue fever from spatial epidemic data. Math. Biosci. 2007 Aug;208(2):571-89 (pdf)
  • G. Chowell, F. Sanchez. Climate-based descriptive models of dengue fever: The 2002 epidemic in Colima, Mexico J. Env. Health 68 (10) Jun, 60-3 (2006) (pdf)
  • G. Chowell , C.A. Torre, C. Munyaco-Escate, L. Suárez -Ognio, R. López-Cruz, J.M. Hyman, C. Castillo-Chavez. Spatial and temporal dynamics of dengue fever in Peru: 1994-2006.  Epidemiology and Infection, (to appear 2008).
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Complete list of Research publications

  • A.B. Gumel, M. Nuno, G. Chowell. Mathematical assessment of Canada's pandemic influenza preparedness plan. Can. J. Inf. Dis. & Med. Microb. (in press).
  • G. Chowell , C.A. Torre, C. Munyaco-Escate, L. Suárez -Ognio, R. López-Cruz, J.M. Hyman, C. Castillo-Chavez. Spatial and temporal dynamics of dengue fever in Peru: 1994-2006. Epidemiology and Infection, (to appear 2008).
  • G. Chowell, H. Nishiura. Quantifying the transmission potential of pandemic influenza. Physics of Life Reviews 5, 50-77 (2008) (pdf)
  • G. Chowell, L.M.A. Bettencourt, N. Johnson, W.J. Alonso, C. Viboud. The 1918-1919 influenza pandemic in England and Wales: Spatial patterns in transmissibility and mortality impact. Proc. R. Soc. B 275, 501-509 (2008)(pdf)
  • T. L. Burr and G. Chowell. Signatures of non-homogeneous mixing in disease outbreaks. Math. Comp. Model. doi:10.1016/j.mcm.2007.09.009(online)
  • H. Nishiura and G. Chowell. Household and community transmission of the Asian influenza A (H2N2) and influenza B viruses in 1957 and 1961. Southeast Asian J. Trop. Med. Pub. Health. 38(6), 1075-1083 (2007)(pdf)
  • G. Chowell, M.A. Miller, C. Viboud. Seasonal influenza in the United States, France and Australia: Transmission and prospects for control. Epidemiology and Infection 2007 Jul 18;:1-13 (pdf) (supplement)
  • M. Chaffer, A. L. Rivas, D. Elad, O. Koren , S. Garazi, G. Chowell, S. J. Schwager. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC)-based assessment of a serological test used to detect Johne's Disease in Israeli dairy herds. Can. J. Vet. Res. 72:18-26 (2008)
  • L.M.A. Bettencourt, R.M. Ribeiro, G. Chowell, T. Lant, C. Castillo-Chavez. Towards real time epidemiology: data assimilation, modeling and anomaly detection of health surveillance data streams. Zeng et al.(Eds.) Intelligence and security informatics: Biosurveillance. Proceedings of the 2nd NSF Workshop, Biosurveillance, 2007.Lecture Notes in Computer Science. Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg, 2007 (online)
  • G. Chowell, C. E. Ammon, N. W. Hengartner, J. M. Hyman. Estimating the reproduction number from the initial phase of the Spanish flu pandemic waves in Geneva, Switzerland. Math Biosci Eng. 2007 Jul;4(3):457-70. (pdf)
  • R. I. Rodríguez-Vivas, A. L Rivas, G. Chowell, H. Fragoso, R. Rosario, Z. Garcia, S. D Smith, J. J. Williams, S. J. Schwager. Spatial distribution of acaricide profiles (Boophilus microplus strains susceptible or resistant to acaricides) in southeastern Mexico. Veterinary Parasitology 2007 May 15;146(1-2):158-69. Epub 2007 Mar 8. (pdf)
  • M. Nuno, G. Chowell, A. Gumel. Assessing the role of basic control measures, antivirals and vaccine in curtailing pandemic infuenza: Scenarios for the US, UK, and the Netherlands. J R Soc Interface 2007 Jun 22;4(14):505-21. (pdf)
  • G. Chowell, P. Diaz-Duenas, J.C. Miller, P.W. Fenimore, J.M. Hyman, C. Castillo-Chavez. Estimation of the reproduction number of dengue fever from spatial epidemic data. Math. Biosci. 2007 Aug;208(2):571-89. (pdf)
  • G. Chowell, H. Nishiura, L.M.A. Bettencourt. Comparative estimation of the reproduction number for pandemic influenza from daily case notification data. J R Soc Interface 4, 155-166 (2007) (pdf)
  • M. Nuno, G. Chowell, X. Wang, C. Castillo-Chavez. On the role of cross-immunity and vaccination in the survival of less-fit flu strains. Theor. Pop. Biol. 71, 20-29 (2007) (pdf)
  • T.L. Burr, G. Chowell. Observation and model error effects on parameter estimates in susceptible-infected-recovered epidemic model. Far East J. Theor. Stat. 19(2), 163-183 (2006) (pdf)
  • G. Chowell, F. Sanchez. Climate-based descriptive models of dengue fever. J. Env. Health 68 (10) Jun, 60-3 (2006) (pdf)
  • G. Chowell, C. E. Ammon, N. W. Hengartner, J. M. Hyman. Estimation of the Reproductive number of the Spanish Flu Epidemic in Geneva, Switzerland. Proceedings of the Second European Influenza Conference (St-Julians, Malta, September, 2005). Vaccine 24, 6747-6750 (2006) (pdf)
  • G. Chowell, P. Diaz-Duenas, R. Bustos-Saldana, A. Aleman-Mireles, and V. Fet. Epidemiological and Clinical Characteristics of Scorpionism in Colima, Mexico (2000-2001). Toxicon 47(7), 753-758 (2006) (pdf)
  • G. Chowell, A. Cintron-Arias, S. Del Valle, F. Sanchez, B. Song, J. M. Hyman, H. W. Hethcote, and C. Castillo-Chavez. Mathematical applications associated with the deliberate release of infectious agents. Modeling The Dynamics of Human Diseases: Emerging Paradigms and Challenges. AMS Cotemporary Mathematics Series Vol. 410, pp. 51-71. Gumel A. (Chief Editor), Castillo-Chavez, C., Clemence, D.P. and R.E. Mickens. (pdf)
  • G. Chowell, C. E. Ammon, N. W. Hengartner, J. M. Hyman. Transmission dynamics of the great influenza pandemic of 1918 in Geneva, Switzerland: Assessing the effects of hypothetical interventions. J. Theor. Biol. 241(2), 193-204 (2006) (pdf)
  • A. L. Rivas, B. Kunsberg, G. Chowell, S. D. Smith, J. M. Hyman, S. J. Schwager. Human-mediated foot-and-mouth disease epidemic dispersal: disease and vector clusters. J. Vet. Med. B 53, 1-10 (2006) (pdf)
  • G. Chowell, A. L. Rivas, N. W. Hengartner, J. M. Hyman, C. Castillo-Chavez. Critical response to post-outbreak vaccination against foot-and-mouth disease. Modeling The Dynamics of Human Diseases: Emerging Paradigms and Challenges. AMS Cotemporary Mathematics Series Vol. 410, pp. 73-87. Gumel A. (Chief Editor), Castillo-Chavez, C., Clemence, D.P. and R.E. Mickens. (pdf)
  • G. Chowell, P. Diaz-Duenas, and D. Chowell. The dynamics of pulmonary tuberculosis in Colima, Mexico (1999-2002). Scand. J. Infect. Dis. 37(11), 858-862 (2005) (pdf)
  • J. Gjorgjieva, K. Smith, G. Chowell , F. Sanchez, J. Snyder, and C. Castillo-Chavez. The Role of Vaccination in the Control of SARS. Math. Biosci. Eng. 2(4), 753-769 (2005) (pdf)
  • G. Chowell, A. L. Rivas, N. W. Hengartner, J. M. Hyman, C. Castillo-Chavez. The Role of Spatial Mixing in the Spread of Foot-and-Mouth Disease. Prev. Vet. Med. 73, 297-314 (2006) (pdf)
  • G. Chowell, E. Shim, F. Brauer, P. Diaz-Duenas, J. M. Hyman, C. Castillo-Chavez. Modeling the transmission dynamics of Acute Hemorrhagic Conjunctivitis: Application to the 2003 Outbreak in Mexico. Stat. Med. 25(11), 1840-1857 (2006) (pdf)
  • G. Chowell, A. L. Rivas, S.D. Smith, J. M. Hyman. Identification of case clusters and counties of greater infective connectivity in the 2001 Uruguayan foot-and-mouth disease epidemic. Am. J. Vet. Res. 67(1), 1-12 (2006) (pdf)
  • G. Chowell, J. M. Hyman, P. Diaz-Duenas, N. W. Hengartner. Predicting scorpion sting incidence in an endemic region using climatological variables. Int. J. Env. Health Res. 15(6), 425-435 (2005) (pdf)
  • G. Chowell, N. W. Hengartner, C. Castillo-Chavez, P. W. Fenimore, and J. M. Hyman. The Reproductive Number of Ebola and the Effects of Public Health Measures: The cases of Congo and Uganda. J. Theor. Biol. 229(1), 119-126 (2004) (pdf)
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  • G. Chowell , C. Castillo-Chavez, P.W. Fenimore, C. Kribs-Zaleta, L. Arriola, J.M. Hyman. Model Parameters and Outbreak Control for SARS. Emerg. Inf. Dis. 10 (7) (2004) , Supplementary materials (pdf)
  • G. Chowell, P. W. Fenimore, M. A. Castillo-Garsow and C. Castillo-Chavez. SARS Outbreaks in Ontario, Hong Kong and Singapore: the role of diagnosis and isolation as a control mechanism. J. Theor. Biol. 24, 1-8 (2003) (pdf)
  • G. Chowell and C. Castillo-Chavez. Worst-Case Scenarios and Epidemics. In: T Banks and C. Castillo-Chavez (eds.), Bioterrorism: Mathematical and Modeling Approaches in Homeland Security. SIAM's series Frontiers in Applied Mathematics (2003) (pdf)
  • G. Chowell, J. M. Hyman, S. Eubank, C. Castillo-Chavez. Scaling Laws for the Movement of People between Locations in a Large City. Phys. Rev. E 68, 066102 (2003) (pdf)
  • P. Diaz, G. Chowell, T. C. D'Auria, R. C. Lloyd, C. Castillo-Chavez, Pediatric electrocardiograph abnormalities following Centruroides limpidus tecomanus scorpion envenomation, Toxicon 45(1), 27-31 (2005) (pdf)
  • G. Chowell, P. Diaz-Duenas, C. Castillo-Chavez, Characterization of an oubreak of Acute Hemorrhagic Conjunctivitis in Mexico, 2003. Dig. J. Ophtalm. 11/1 (2005) (online)
  • G. Chowell. PhD Thesis: Mathematical models of emergent and re-emergent infectious diseases: Assessing the effects of public health interventions on disease spread. Adviser: Prof. Carlos Castillo-Chavez. Cornell University (2005) (pdf)
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