CLAS

Gerardo Chowell
Assistant Professor
School of Human Evolution and Social Change
Arizona State University
Tempe, AZ-85282
SHESC

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Research

Complete list of research publications

  • V. Alberto Laguna-Torres, Jorge Gómez, Patricia V. Aguilar, Julia S. Ampuero, Cesar Munayco, Víctor Ocaña, Juan Pérez María, E. Gamero, Juan Carlos Arrasco Irmia Paz Edward Chávez , Rollin Cruz Jaime Chavez, Silvia Mendocilla, Elizabeth Gomez, Juana Antigoni, Sofía Gonzalez, Cesar Tejada, Gerardo Chowell, Tadeusz J. Kochel and the Peru Influenza working group. Changes in the viral distribution pattern after the appearance of the novel influenza A (H1N1pdm) virus in influenza-like illness patients in Peru. PLoS ONE 5(7): e11719. doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0011719 Press, 2010 (pdf)

  • C.J.E. Metcalf, C.V. Munayco, G. Chowell, B.T. Grenfell, O.N. Bjørnstad. Rubella metapopulation dynamics and importance of spatial coupling to the risk of Congenital Rubella Syndrome in Peru. Journal of the Royal Society Interface (pdf)

  • G. Chowell, C. Viboud, L. Simonsen, M.A. Miller, R. Acuna-Soto. Unexpected mortality patterns associated with the 1918 influenza pandemic in Mexico: evidence for a spring herald wave and lack of pre-existing immunity in older populations. The Journal of Infectious Diseases 202(4):567-575 (pdf)

  • S. Lee, G. Chowell, C. Castillo-Chavez. Optimal control for pandemic influenza: The role of limited antiviral treatment and isolation. Journal of Theoretical Biology , 265(2):136-50 (2010). (pdf)

  • G. Chowell, C. Viboud, L. Simonsen, M.A. Miller, W.J. Alonso. The reproduction number of seasonal influenza epidemics in Brazil, 1996-2006. Proc. Roy. Soc. B 277(1689):1857-66 (pdf)

  • H. Nishiura, G. Chowell, M. Safan, C. Castillo-Chavez. Pros and cons of estimating the reproduction number from early epidemic growth rate of influenza A (H1N1) 2009 Theoretical Biology and Medical Modelling 2010, 7:1 doi:10.1186/1742-4682-7-1 online

  • T. Reichert, G. Chowell, H. Nishiura, J. McCullers. HA1 Glycosylation as a modifier of Original Antigenic Sin. BMC Infectious Diseases 2010, 10:5 doi:10.1186/1471-2334-10-5 online

  • G. Chowell, C. Viboud, X. Wang, M.A. Miller. Adaptive vaccination strategies against pandemic influenza: Mexico as a case study. PLoS ONE 4(12): e8164. doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0008164 online

  • A. Mubayi, C. Castillo-Chavez, G. Chowell, C. Kribs-Zaleta, N. Ali Siddiquih, N. Kumarh, P. Dash. Transmission Dynamics and Underreporting of Kala-azar in the Indian State of Bihar. J. Theor. Biol. 262, 177-185 (2010) (pdf)

  • D. Rios-Doria, G. Chowell. Qualitative analysis of the level of cross-protection between epidemic waves of the 1918-1919 Influenza Pandemic. J. Theor. Biol. 261, 584-592 (2009) (pdf)

  • Gómez J, Munayco CV, Arrasco JC, Suarez L, Laguna-Torres VA, Aguilar PV, Chowell G, Kochel TJ. Pandemic influenza in a southern hemisphere setting: the experience in Peru from May to September, 2009. Eurosurveillance 2009;14(42):pii=19371. online

  • C V Munayco, J Gómez, V A Laguna-Torres, J Arrasco, T J Kochel, V Fiestas, J Garcia, J Perez, I Torres, F Condori, H Nishiura, G Chowell. Epidemiological and transmissibility analysis of influenza A(H1N1)v in a southern hemisphere setting: Peru. Eurosurveillance 14(32):pii=19299 (2009) online

  • G. Chowell, S. M. Bertozzi, M.A. Colchero, H. Lopez-Gatell, C. Alpuche-Aranda, M. Hernandez, M.A. Miller. Severe Respiratory Disease Concurrent with H1N1 Influenza Circulation The New England Journal of Medicine 361:674-679 (2009) online

  • A.L. Rivas, G. Chowell, Schwager SJ, Fasina FO, Hoogesteijn AL, Smith SD, Bisschop SP, Anderson KL, Hyman JM. Lessons from Nigeria: the role of roads in the geo-temporal progression of avian influenza (H5N1) virus. Epidemiology and Infection. In Press (2009).

  • G. Chowell, C. Munayco, A.A. Escalante, F.E. McKenzie. The spatial and temporal patterns of falciparum and vivax malaria in Peru: 1994-2006. The Malaria Journal 2009, 8:142. online

  • H. Nishiura, C. Castillo-Chavez, M. Safan, G. Chowell. Transmission potential of the new influenza A(H1N1) virus and its age-specificity in Japan. Eurosurveillance 14 (2009). online

  • H. Nishiura, G. Chowell, H. Heesterbeek, J. Wallinga. The ideal reporting interval for an epidemic to objectively interpret the epidemiological time course. J. Roy. Soc. Interface. (2009). In press. (pdf)

  • H. Nishiura, G. Chowell.The effective reproduction number as a prelude to statistical estimation of time-dependent epidemic trends. G. Chowell, J.M. Hyman, L.M.A. Bettencourt, C. Castillo-Chavez (Eds.) Mathematical and Statistical Estimation Approaches in Epidemiology. Springer. 2009

  • D. Rios-Doria, G. Chowell , C. Munayco-Escate, A. Witembury, C. Castillo-Chavez. Spatial and temporal dynamics of rubella in Peru, 1997-2006: Geographic patterns, age at infection and estimation of transmissibility. G. Chowell, J.M. Hyman, L.M.A. Bettencourt, C. Castillo-Chavez (Eds.) Mathematical and Statistical Estimation Approaches in Epidemiology. Springer. 2009

  • G. Chowell, F. Brauer. The basic reproduction number of infectious diseases: Computation and estimation using compartmental epidemic models. G. Chowell, J.M. Hyman, L.M.A. Bettencourt, C. Castillo-Chavez (Eds.) Mathematical and Statistical Estimation Approaches in Epidemiology. Springer. 2009

  • G. Chowell, J.M. Hyman, L.M.A. Bettencourt, C. Castillo-Chavez (Eds.) Mathematical and Statistical Estimation Approaches in Epidemiology. Springer. 2009, Approx. 430 p., Hardcover, ISBN: 978-90-481-2312-4. (Table of contents)
    book cover

  • Burr T, Chowell G. The reproduction number R(t) in structured and non-structured populations. Mathematical Biosciences and Engineering . 6(2), (2009). (pdf)

  • Rivas AL, Chaffer M, Chowell G, Elad D, Koren O, Smith SD, Schwager SJ. Optimization of Epidemiologic Interventions: Evaluation of Spatial and Non-Spatial Methods That Identify Johne's Disease-Infected Subpopulations Targeted for Intervention. Israel Journal of Veterinary Medicine 63, 2008, 59-71.

  • Nishiura H, Chowell G . Rurality and pandemic influenza: geographic heterogeneity in the risks of infection and death in Kanagawa Prefecture, Japan, from 1918-19. The New Zealand Medical Journal 121(1284):18-27, (2008) (pdf)

  • M. Nuno, T. A. Reichert, G. Chowell , A. B. Gumel. Protecting residential care facilities from pandemic influenza. Proc. Nat. Acad. Sci USA . 2008; 105(30):10625-30 (pdf)

  • G. Chowell , P. Diaz-Duenas, D. Chowell, S. Hews, J. Ceja-Espiritu, J. M. Hyman, C. Castillo-Chavez. Diagnostic delays and epidemiology of dengue fever during the 2002 epidemic in Colima, Mexico. Dengue Bulletin (pdf)

  • G. Chowell , N.W. Hengartner, C.E. Ammon, J.M. Hyman. Learning from the past to prepare for the future: Modeling the impact of hypothetical interventions during the great influenza pandemic of 1918. CHANCE 21(2) , 55-60 (2008) (pdf) .

  • A.B. Gumel, M. Nuno, G. Chowell . Mathematical assessment of Canada's pandemic influenza preparedness plan. Can. J. Inf. Dis. & Med. Microb. (in press).

  • G. Chowell, C.A. Torre, C. Munyaco-Escate, L. Suarez -Ognio, R. Lopez-Cruz, J.M. Hyman, C. Castillo-Chavez. Spatial and temporal dynamics of dengue fever in Peru: 1994-2006. Epidemiology and Infection , 2008 Apr 8:1-11. (pdf)

  • G. Chowell , H. Nishiura. Quantifying the transmission potential of pandemic influenza. Physics of Life Reviews 5, 50-77 (2008) (pdf)

  • G. Chowell, L.M.A. Bettencourt, N. Johnson, W.J. Alonso, C. Viboud. The 1918-1919 influenza pandemic in England and Wales: Spatial patterns in transmissibility and mortality impact. Proc. R. Soc. B 275, 501-509 (2008)(pdf)

  • T. L. Burr and G. Chowell. Signatures of non-homogeneous mixing in disease outbreaks. Math. Comp. Model. doi:10.1016/j.mcm.2007.09.009 (online)

  • H. Nishiura and G. Chowell. Household and community transmission of the Asian influenza A (H2N2) and influenza B viruses in 1957 and 1961. Southeast Asian J. Trop. Med. Pub. Health. 38(6), 1075-1083 (2007)(pdf)

  • G. Chowell, M.A. Miller, C. Viboud. Seasonal influenza in the United States, France and Australia: Transmission and prospects for control.Epidemiology and Infection 2007 Jul 18;:1-13 (pdf) (supplement)

  • M. Chaffer, A. L. Rivas, D. Elad, O. Koren , S. Garazi,G. Chowell, S. J. Schwager. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC)-based assessment of a serological test used to detect Johne's Disease in Israeli dairy herds. Can. J. Vet. Res. 72:18-26 (2008)

  • L.M.A. Bettencourt, R.M. Ribeiro, G. Chowell, T. Lant, C. Castillo-Chavez. Towards real time epidemiology: data assimilation, modeling and anomaly detection of health surveillance data streams. Zeng et al.(Eds.) Intelligence and security informatics: Biosurveillance. Proceedings of the 2nd NSF Workshop, Biosurveillance, 2007. Lecture Notes in Computer Science. Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg, 2007 (online)

  • G. Chowell, C. E. Ammon, N. W. Hengartner, J. M. Hyman. Estimating the reproduction number from the initial phase of the Spanish flu pandemic waves in Geneva, Switzerland. Math Biosci Eng. 2007 Jul;4(3):457-70. (pdf)

  • R. I. Rodriguez-Vivas, A. L Rivas, G. Chowell, H. Fragoso, R. Rosario, Z. Garcia, S. D. Smith, J. J. Williams, S. J. Schwager. Spatial distribution of acaricide profiles (Boophilus microplus strains susceptible or resistant to acaricides) in southeastern Mexico. Veterinary Parasitology 2007 May 15;146(1-2):158-69. Epub 2007 Mar 8. (pdf)

  • M. Nuno, G. Chowell, A. Gumel. Assessing the role of basic control measures, antivirals and vaccine in curtailing pandemic infuenza: Scenarios for the US, UK, and the Netherlands. J R Soc Interface 2007 Jun 22;4(14):505-21. (pdf)

  • G. Chowell, P. Diaz-Duenas, J.C. Miller, P.W. Fenimore, J.M. Hyman, C. Castillo-Chavez. Estimation of the reproduction number of dengue fever from spatial epidemic data.Math. Biosci. 2007 Aug;208(2):571-89. (pdf)

  • G. Chowell, H. Nishiura, L.M.A. Bettencourt. Comparative estimation of the reproduction number for pandemic influenza from daily case notification data. J R Soc Interface 4, 155-166 (2007) (pdf)

  • M. Nuno, G. Chowell, X. Wang, C. Castillo-Chavez. On the role of cross-immunity and vaccination in the survival of less-fit flu strains. Theor. Pop. Biol. 71, 20-29 (2007) (pdf)

  • T.L. Burr, G. Chowell. Observation and model error effects on parameter estimates in susceptible-infected-recovered epidemic model. Far East J. Theor. Stat. 19(2), 163-183 (2006) (pdf)

  • G. Chowell, F. Sanchez. Climate-based descriptive models of dengue fever. J. Env. Health 68 (10) Jun, 60-3 (2006) (pdf)

  • G. Chowell, C. E. Ammon, N. W. Hengartner, J. M. Hyman. Estimation of the reproduction number of the Spanish Flu Epidemic in Geneva, Switzerland. Proceedings of the Second European Influenza Conference (St-Julians, Malta, September, 2005). Vaccine 24, 6747-6750 (2006) (pdf)

  • G. Chowell, P. Diaz-Duenas, R. Bustos-Saldana, A. Aleman-Mireles, and V. Fet. Epidemiological and clinical characteristics of scorpionism in Colima, Mexico (2000-2001). Toxicon 47(7), 753-758 (2006) (pdf)

  • G. Chowell, A. Cintron-Arias, S. Del Valle, F. Sanchez, B. Song, J. M. Hyman, H. W. Hethcote, and C. Castillo-Chavez. Mathematical applications associated with the deliberate release of infectious agents. Modeling the dynamics of human diseases: Emerging paradigms and challenges. AMS Cotemporary Mathematics Series Vol. 410, pp. 51-71. Gumel A. (Chief Editor), Castillo-Chavez, C., Clemence, D.P. and R.E. Mickens. (pdf)

  • G. Chowell, C. E. Ammon, N. W. Hengartner, J. M. Hyman. Transmission dynamics of the great influenza pandemic of 1918 in Geneva, Switzerland: Assessing the effects of hypothetical interventions. J. Theor. Biol. 241(2), 193-204 (2006) (pdf)

  • A. L. Rivas, B. Kunsberg, G. Chowell, S. D. Smith, J. M. Hyman, S. J. Schwager. Human-mediated foot-and-mouth disease epidemic dispersal: disease and vector clusters. J. Vet. Med. B 53, 1-10 (2006) (pdf)

  • G. Chowell, A. L. Rivas, N. W. Hengartner, J. M. Hyman, C. Castillo-Chavez. Critical response to post-outbreak vaccination against foot-and-mouth disease. Modeling The Dynamics of Human Diseases: Emerging Paradigms and Challenges. AMS Cotemporary Mathematics Series Vol. 410, pp. 73-87. Gumel A. (Chief Editor), Castillo-Chavez, C., Clemence, D.P. and R.E. Mickens. (pdf)

  • G. Chowell, P. Diaz-Duenas, and D. Chowell. The dynamics of pulmonary tuberculosis in Colima, Mexico (1999-2002).Scand. J. Infect. Dis. 37(11), 858-862 (2005) (pdf)

  • J. Gjorgjieva, K. Smith, G. Chowell, F. Sanchez, J. Snyder, and C. Castillo-Chavez. The Role of Vaccination in the Control of SARS. Math. Biosci. Eng. 2(4), 753-769 (2005) (pdf)

  • G. Chowell, A. L. Rivas, N. W. Hengartner, J. M. Hyman, C. Castillo-Chavez. The role of spatial mixing in the spread of foot-and-mouth disease. Prev. Vet. Med. 73, 297-314 (2006) (pdf)

  • G. Chowell, E. Shim, F. Brauer, P. Diaz-Duenas, J. M. Hyman, C. Castillo-Chavez. Modeling the transmission dynamics of Acute Hemorrhagic Conjunctivitis: Application to the 2003 outbreak in Mexico. Stat. Med. 25(11), 1840-1857 (2006) (pdf)

  • G. Chowell, A. L. Rivas, S.D. Smith, J. M. Hyman. Identification of case clusters and counties of greater infective connectivity in the 2001 Uruguayan foot-and-mouth disease epidemic. Am. J. Vet. Res. 67(1), 1-12 (2006) (pdf)

  • G. Chowell, J. M. Hyman, P. Diaz-Duenas, N. W. Hengartner. Predicting scorpion sting incidence in an endemic region using climatological variables. Int. J. Env. Health Res. 15(6), 425-435 (2005) (pdf)

  • G. Chowell, N. W. Hengartner, C. Castillo-Chavez, P. W. Fenimore, and J. M. Hyman. The Reproductive Number of Ebola and the Effects of Public Health Measures: The cases of Congo and Uganda. J. Theor. Biol. 229(1), 119-126 (2004) (pdf)

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  • G. Chowell, C. Castillo-Chavez, P.W. Fenimore, C. Kribs-Zaleta, L. Arriola, J.M. Hyman. Model Parameters and Outbreak Control for SARS. Emerg. Inf. Dis. 10 (7) (2004) , Supplementary materials (pdf)

  • G. Chowell, P. W. Fenimore, M. A. Castillo-Garsow and C. Castillo-Chavez. SARS Outbreaks in Ontario, Hong Kong and Singapore: the role of diagnosis and isolation as a control mechanism. J. Theor. Biol. 24, 1-8 (2003) (pdf)

  • G. Chowell and C. Castillo-Chavez. Worst-Case scenarios and epidemics. In: T Banks and C. Castillo-Chavez (eds.), Bioterrorism: Mathematical and Modeling Approaches in Homeland Security. SIAM's series Frontiers in Applied Mathematics (2003) (pdf)

  • G. Chowell, J. M. Hyman, S. Eubank, C. Castillo-Chavez. Scaling laws for the movement of people between locations in a large city. Phys. Rev. E 68, 066102 (2003) (pdf)

  • P. Diaz,G. Chowell, T. C. D'Auria, R. C. Lloyd, C. Castillo-Chavez, Pediatric electrocardiograph abnormalities following Centruroides limpidus tecomanus scorpion envenomation, Toxicon 45(1), 27-31 (2005) (pdf)

  • G. Chowell, P. Diaz-Duenas, C. Castillo-Chavez, Characterization of an oubreak of Acute Hemorrhagic Conjunctivitis in Mexico, 2003. Dig. J. Ophtalm. 11/1 (2005) (online)

  • G. Chowell. PhD. Thesis: Mathematical models of emergent and re-emergent infectious diseases: Assessing the effects of public health interventions on disease spread. Adviser: Prof. Carlos Castillo-Chavez. Cornell University (2005) (pdf)
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