CLAS

Gerardo Chowell
Assistant Professor
School of Human Evolution and Social Change
Arizona State University
Tempe, AZ-85282
SHESC

Home | Research | Teaching | Current Projects | People | News | Contact

Research

Complete list of research publications

  • D. Rios-Doria, G. Chowell. Qualitative analysis of the level of cross-protection between epidemic waves of the 1918-1919 Influenza Pandemic. J. Theor. Biol., In press, 2009

  • G. Chowell, C. Viboud, X. Wang, S.M. Bertozzi, M.A. Miller. Adaptive vaccination strategies to mitigate pandemic influenza: Mexico as a case study PLoS Currents:Influenza 2009 August 20; online

  • C V Munayco, J Gómez, V A Laguna-Torres, J Arrasco, T J Kochel, V Fiestas, J Garcia, J Perez, I Torres, F Condori, H Nishiura, G Chowell. Epidemiological and transmissibility analysis of influenza A(H1N1)v in a southern hemisphere setting: Peru. Eurosurveillance 14(32):pii=19299 (2009) online

  • G. Chowell, S. M. Bertozzi, M.A. Colchero, H. Lopez-Gatell, C. Alpuche-Aranda, M. Hernandez, M.A. Miller. Severe Respiratory Disease Concurrent with H1N1 Influenza Circulation The New England Journal of Medicine 361:674-679 (2009) online

  • A.L. Rivas, G. Chowell, Schwager SJ, Fasina FO, Hoogesteijn AL, Smith SD, Bisschop SP, Anderson KL, Hyman JM. Lessons from Nigeria: the role of roads in the geo-temporal progression of avian influenza (H5N1) virus. Epidemiology and Infection. In Press (2009).

  • G. Chowell, C. Munayco, A.A. Escalante, F.E. McKenzie. The spatial and temporal patterns of falciparum and vivax malaria in Peru: 1994-2006. The Malaria Journal 2009, 8:142. online

  • H. Nishiura, C. Castillo-Chavez, M. Safan, G. Chowell. Transmission potential of the new influenza A(H1N1) virus and its age-specificity in Japan. Eurosurveillance 14 (2009). online

  • H. Nishiura, G. Chowell, H. Heesterbeek, J. Wallinga. The ideal reporting interval for an epidemic to objectively interpret the epidemiological time course. J. Roy. Soc. Interface. (2009). In press.

  • H. Nishiura, G. Chowell.The effective reproduction number as a prelude to statistical estimation of time-dependent epidemic trends. G. Chowell, J.M. Hyman, L.M.A. Bettencourt, C. Castillo-Chavez (Eds.) Mathematical and Statistical Estimation Approaches in Epidemiology. Springer. 2009

  • D. Rios-Doria, G. Chowell , C. Munayco-Escate, A. Witembury, C. Castillo-Chavez. Spatial and temporal dynamics of rubella in Peru, 1997-2006: Geographic patterns, age at infection and estimation of transmissibility. G. Chowell, J.M. Hyman, L.M.A. Bettencourt, C. Castillo-Chavez (Eds.) Mathematical and Statistical Estimation Approaches in Epidemiology. Springer. 2009

  • G. Chowell, F. Brauer. The basic reproduction number of infectious diseases: Computation and estimation using compartmental epidemic models. G. Chowell, J.M. Hyman, L.M.A. Bettencourt, C. Castillo-Chavez (Eds.) Mathematical and Statistical Estimation Approaches in Epidemiology. Springer. 2009

  • G. Chowell, J.M. Hyman, L.M.A. Bettencourt, C. Castillo-Chavez (Eds.) Mathematical and Statistical Estimation Approaches in Epidemiology. Springer. 2009, Approx. 430 p., Hardcover, ISBN: 978-90-481-2312-4. (Table of contents)
    book cover

  • Burr T, Chowell G. The reproduction number R(t) in structured and non-structured populations. Mathematical Biosciences and Engineering . 6(2), (2009).

  • Rivas AL, Chaffer M, Chowell G, Elad D, Koren O, Smith SD, Schwager SJ. Optimization of Epidemiologic Interventions: Evaluation of Spatial and Non-Spatial Methods That Identify Johne's Disease-Infected Subpopulations Targeted for Intervention. Israel Journal of Veterinary Medicine 63, 2008, 59-71.

  • Nishiura H, Chowell G . Rurality and pandemic influenza: geographic heterogeneity in the risks of infection and death in Kanagawa Prefecture, Japan, from 1918-19. The New Zealand Medical Journal 121(1284):18-27, (2008) (pdf)

  • M. Nuno, T. A. Reichert, G. Chowell , A. B. Gumel. Protecting residential care facilities from pandemic influenza. Proc. Nat. Acad. Sci USA . 2008; 105(30):10625-30 (pdf)

  • G. Chowell , P. Diaz-Duenas, D. Chowell, S. Hews, J. Ceja-Espiritu, J. M. Hyman, C. Castillo-Chavez. Diagnostic delays and epidemiology of dengue fever during the 2002 epidemic in Colima, Mexico. Dengue Bulletin (pdf)

  • G. Chowell , N.W. Hengartner, C.E. Ammon, J.M. Hyman. Learning from the past to prepare for the future: Modeling the impact of hypothetical interventions during the great influenza pandemic of 1918. CHANCE 21(2) , 55-60 (2008) (pdf) .

  • A.B. Gumel, M. Nuno, G. Chowell . Mathematical assessment of Canada's pandemic influenza preparedness plan. Can. J. Inf. Dis. & Med. Microb. (in press).

  • G. Chowell, C.A. Torre, C. Munyaco-Escate, L. Suarez -Ognio, R. Lopez-Cruz, J.M. Hyman, C. Castillo-Chavez. Spatial and temporal dynamics of dengue fever in Peru: 1994-2006. Epidemiology and Infection , 2008 Apr 8:1-11. .

  • G. Chowell , H. Nishiura. Quantifying the transmission potential of pandemic influenza. Physics of Life Reviews 5, 50-77 (2008) (pdf)

  • G. Chowell, L.M.A. Bettencourt, N. Johnson, W.J. Alonso, C. Viboud. The 1918-1919 influenza pandemic in England and Wales: Spatial patterns in transmissibility and mortality impact. Proc. R. Soc. B 275, 501-509 (2008)(pdf)

  • T. L. Burr and G. Chowell. Signatures of non-homogeneous mixing in disease outbreaks. Math. Comp. Model. doi:10.1016/j.mcm.2007.09.009 (online)

  • H. Nishiura and G. Chowell. Household and community transmission of the Asian influenza A (H2N2) and influenza B viruses in 1957 and 1961. Southeast Asian J. Trop. Med. Pub. Health. 38(6), 1075-1083 (2007)(pdf)

  • G. Chowell, M.A. Miller, C. Viboud. Seasonal influenza in the United States, France and Australia: Transmission and prospects for control.Epidemiology and Infection 2007 Jul 18;:1-13 (pdf) (supplement)

  • M. Chaffer, A. L. Rivas, D. Elad, O. Koren , S. Garazi,G. Chowell, S. J. Schwager. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC)-based assessment of a serological test used to detect Johne's Disease in Israeli dairy herds. Can. J. Vet. Res. 72:18-26 (2008)

  • L.M.A. Bettencourt, R.M. Ribeiro, G. Chowell, T. Lant, C. Castillo-Chavez. Towards real time epidemiology: data assimilation, modeling and anomaly detection of health surveillance data streams. Zeng et al.(Eds.) Intelligence and security informatics: Biosurveillance. Proceedings of the 2nd NSF Workshop, Biosurveillance, 2007. Lecture Notes in Computer Science. Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg, 2007 (online)

  • G. Chowell, C. E. Ammon, N. W. Hengartner, J. M. Hyman. Estimating the reproduction number from the initial phase of the Spanish flu pandemic waves in Geneva, Switzerland. Math Biosci Eng. 2007 Jul;4(3):457-70. (pdf)

  • R. I. Rodriguez-Vivas, A. L Rivas, G. Chowell, H. Fragoso, R. Rosario, Z. Garcia, S. D. Smith, J. J. Williams, S. J. Schwager. Spatial distribution of acaricide profiles (Boophilus microplus strains susceptible or resistant to acaricides) in southeastern Mexico. Veterinary Parasitology 2007 May 15;146(1-2):158-69. Epub 2007 Mar 8. (pdf)

  • M. Nuno, G. Chowell, A. Gumel. Assessing the role of basic control measures, antivirals and vaccine in curtailing pandemic infuenza: Scenarios for the US, UK, and the Netherlands. J R Soc Interface 2007 Jun 22;4(14):505-21. (pdf)

  • G. Chowell, P. Diaz-Duenas, J.C. Miller, P.W. Fenimore, J.M. Hyman, C. Castillo-Chavez. Estimation of the reproduction number of dengue fever from spatial epidemic data.Math. Biosci. 2007 Aug;208(2):571-89. (pdf)

  • G. Chowell, H. Nishiura, L.M.A. Bettencourt. Comparative estimation of the reproduction number for pandemic influenza from daily case notification data. J R Soc Interface 4, 155-166 (2007) (pdf)

  • M. Nuno, G. Chowell, X. Wang, C. Castillo-Chavez. On the role of cross-immunity and vaccination in the survival of less-fit flu strains. Theor. Pop. Biol. 71, 20-29 (2007) (pdf)

  • T.L. Burr, G. Chowell. Observation and model error effects on parameter estimates in susceptible-infected-recovered epidemic model. Far East J. Theor. Stat. 19(2), 163-183 (2006) (pdf)

  • G. Chowell, F. Sanchez. Climate-based descriptive models of dengue fever. J. Env. Health 68 (10) Jun, 60-3 (2006) (pdf)

  • G. Chowell, C. E. Ammon, N. W. Hengartner, J. M. Hyman. Estimation of the reproduction number of the Spanish Flu Epidemic in Geneva, Switzerland. Proceedings of the Second European Influenza Conference (St-Julians, Malta, September, 2005). Vaccine 24, 6747-6750 (2006) (pdf)

  • G. Chowell, P. Diaz-Duenas, R. Bustos-Saldana, A. Aleman-Mireles, and V. Fet. Epidemiological and clinical characteristics of scorpionism in Colima, Mexico (2000-2001). Toxicon 47(7), 753-758 (2006) (pdf)

  • G. Chowell, A. Cintron-Arias, S. Del Valle, F. Sanchez, B. Song, J. M. Hyman, H. W. Hethcote, and C. Castillo-Chavez. Mathematical applications associated with the deliberate release of infectious agents. Modeling the dynamics of human diseases: Emerging paradigms and challenges. AMS Cotemporary Mathematics Series Vol. 410, pp. 51-71. Gumel A. (Chief Editor), Castillo-Chavez, C., Clemence, D.P. and R.E. Mickens. (pdf)

  • G. Chowell, C. E. Ammon, N. W. Hengartner, J. M. Hyman. Transmission dynamics of the great influenza pandemic of 1918 in Geneva, Switzerland: Assessing the effects of hypothetical interventions. J. Theor. Biol. 241(2), 193-204 (2006) (pdf)

  • A. L. Rivas, B. Kunsberg, G. Chowell, S. D. Smith, J. M. Hyman, S. J. Schwager. Human-mediated foot-and-mouth disease epidemic dispersal: disease and vector clusters. J. Vet. Med. B 53, 1-10 (2006) (pdf)

  • G. Chowell, A. L. Rivas, N. W. Hengartner, J. M. Hyman, C. Castillo-Chavez. Critical response to post-outbreak vaccination against foot-and-mouth disease. Modeling The Dynamics of Human Diseases: Emerging Paradigms and Challenges. AMS Cotemporary Mathematics Series Vol. 410, pp. 73-87. Gumel A. (Chief Editor), Castillo-Chavez, C., Clemence, D.P. and R.E. Mickens. (pdf)

  • G. Chowell, P. Diaz-Duenas, and D. Chowell. The dynamics of pulmonary tuberculosis in Colima, Mexico (1999-2002).Scand. J. Infect. Dis. 37(11), 858-862 (2005) (pdf)

  • J. Gjorgjieva, K. Smith, G. Chowell, F. Sanchez, J. Snyder, and C. Castillo-Chavez. The Role of Vaccination in the Control of SARS. Math. Biosci. Eng. 2(4), 753-769 (2005) (pdf)

  • G. Chowell, A. L. Rivas, N. W. Hengartner, J. M. Hyman, C. Castillo-Chavez. The role of spatial mixing in the spread of foot-and-mouth disease. Prev. Vet. Med. 73, 297-314 (2006) (pdf)

  • G. Chowell, E. Shim, F. Brauer, P. Diaz-Duenas, J. M. Hyman, C. Castillo-Chavez. Modeling the transmission dynamics of Acute Hemorrhagic Conjunctivitis: Application to the 2003 outbreak in Mexico. Stat. Med. 25(11), 1840-1857 (2006) (pdf)

  • G. Chowell, A. L. Rivas, S.D. Smith, J. M. Hyman. Identification of case clusters and counties of greater infective connectivity in the 2001 Uruguayan foot-and-mouth disease epidemic. Am. J. Vet. Res. 67(1), 1-12 (2006) (pdf)

  • G. Chowell, J. M. Hyman, P. Diaz-Duenas, N. W. Hengartner. Predicting scorpion sting incidence in an endemic region using climatological variables. Int. J. Env. Health Res. 15(6), 425-435 (2005) (pdf)

  • G. Chowell, N. W. Hengartner, C. Castillo-Chavez, P. W. Fenimore, and J. M. Hyman. The Reproductive Number of Ebola and the Effects of Public Health Measures: The cases of Congo and Uganda. J. Theor. Biol. 229(1), 119-126 (2004) (pdf)

    •
  • G. Chowell, C. Castillo-Chavez, P.W. Fenimore, C. Kribs-Zaleta, L. Arriola, J.M. Hyman. Model Parameters and Outbreak Control for SARS. Emerg. Inf. Dis. 10 (7) (2004) , Supplementary materials (pdf)

  • G. Chowell, P. W. Fenimore, M. A. Castillo-Garsow and C. Castillo-Chavez. SARS Outbreaks in Ontario, Hong Kong and Singapore: the role of diagnosis and isolation as a control mechanism. J. Theor. Biol. 24, 1-8 (2003) (pdf)

  • G. Chowell and C. Castillo-Chavez. Worst-Case scenarios and epidemics. In: T Banks and C. Castillo-Chavez (eds.), Bioterrorism: Mathematical and Modeling Approaches in Homeland Security. SIAM's series Frontiers in Applied Mathematics (2003) (pdf)

  • G. Chowell, J. M. Hyman, S. Eubank, C. Castillo-Chavez. Scaling laws for the movement of people between locations in a large city. Phys. Rev. E 68, 066102 (2003) (pdf)

  • P. Diaz,G. Chowell, T. C. D'Auria, R. C. Lloyd, C. Castillo-Chavez, Pediatric electrocardiograph abnormalities following Centruroides limpidus tecomanus scorpion envenomation, Toxicon 45(1), 27-31 (2005) (pdf)

  • G. Chowell, P. Diaz-Duenas, C. Castillo-Chavez, Characterization of an oubreak of Acute Hemorrhagic Conjunctivitis in Mexico, 2003. Dig. J. Ophtalm. 11/1 (2005) (online)

  • G. Chowell. PhD. Thesis: Mathematical models of emergent and re-emergent infectious diseases: Assessing the effects of public health interventions on disease spread. Adviser: Prof. Carlos Castillo-Chavez. Cornell University (2005) (pdf)
    •