ASU logoDecision Analysis and System Dynamics Resources
Hosted by Craig W. Kirkwood (bio)

These resources are useful for learning and applying quantitative methods to improve decision making in situations with uncertainty, multiple conflicting objectives, or dynamic change. For further information, consult the Decision Analysis Society or the System Dynamics Society.

Decision analysis software and exercises

• Computer programs to solve decision trees
• Computer-oriented decision analysis exercises
• Short decision analysis cases

Decision analysis reference material

• D. L. Keefer, C. W. Kirkwood, and J. L. Corner, Summary of Decision Analysis Applications in the Operations Research Literature, 1990-2001, 2002.
• C. W. Kirkwood, Decision Tree Primer, 2002.
• C. W. Kirkwood, Notes on Attitude Toward Risk Taking and the Exponential Utility Function, 1991, 1997

Strategic decision making: Multiobjective decision analysis with spreadsheets

The bibliographic citation for this book is Craig W. Kirkwood, Strategic Decision Making: Multiobjective Decision Analysis with Spreadsheets, Duxbury Press, Belmont, CA, 1997, ISBN 0-534-51692-0. It is available from the publisher at or from or Barnes & Noble.

Outline for a course using the book
Excel 97 display bug -- This only applies in the unlikely event that you still use Excel 97.
Table of Contents
Visual Basic code
Instructor's Manual
Additions and Corrections: There are nine known errors, on pages 101, 103, 117, 161, 164, 165, 166, 242, and 258. There are also errors in the Instructor's Manual solutions for exercises on pages 100-103 and 223-224. This web page also provides expanded discussion of certain topics, as well as additional references. [Last updated on October 8, 2012.]

System dynamics resource page

• Support materials for the beer game production-distribution exercise
• Business Process Analysis Workshops: System Dynamics Models
• New Product Dynamics: Illustrative System Dynamics Models
• System Dynamics Methods: A Quick Introduction
• Systems Thinking: Managing the White Spaces in an Organization 
• Vensim PLE Quick Reference and Tutorial

Last updated July 8, 2017.

Craig W. Kirkwood (craig.kirkwood "AT"
Arizona State University,Tempe, AZ 85287