Decision Analysis and System Dynamics Resources at Arizona State University
Hosted by Craig W. Kirkwood

This web site provides resources related to the decision analysis and system dynamics activities in the W. P. Carey School of Business at Arizona State University, Tempe, Arizona, USA. These resources will be useful if you are interested in applying quantitative methods to improve decision making in situations with uncertainty, multiple conflicting objectives, or dynamic change. For further information about decision analysis and system dynamics, follow the links below to the Decision Analysis Society or the system dynamics mega link list.

Select the desired resource:

Courses

QBA 502 Managerial Decision Analysis (Keefer)
QBA 502 Managerial Decision Analysis (Kirkwood)
QBA 591 Management Problem Solving

Decision analysis software and exercises

• Computer programs to solve decision trees
• Computer-oriented decision analysis exercises
Expression Tree decision tree solver
• Short decision analysis cases

Decision analysis reference material

• D. L. Keefer, C. W. Kirkwood, and J. L. Corner, Summary of Decision Analysis Applications in the Operations Research Literature, 1990-2001, 2002 (298,197 bytes).
• C. W. Kirkwood, Decision Tree Primer, 2002.
• Decision analysis applications references (from 1970 through 1989)
• C. W. Kirkwood, Notes on Attitude Toward Risk Taking and the Exponential Utility Function, 1991 (reissued 1997)

Strategic decision making: Multiobjective decision analysis with spreadsheets

The bibliographic citation for this book is Craig W. Kirkwood, Strategic Decision Making: Multiobjective Decision Analysis with Spreadsheets, Duxbury Press, Belmont, CA, 1997, ISBN 0-534-51692-0. It is available from the publisher at www.duxbury.com or online book sellers such as amazon.com or Barnes & Noble.

WARNING: Excel 97 display bug -- In the unlikely event that you are still using Excel 97, be sure to check this.
Table of Contents
Preface
References
Spreadsheets
Visual Basic code
Instructor's Manual
Additions and Corrections: There are nine known errors, on pages 101, 103, 117, 161, 164, 165, 166, 242, and 258. There are also errors in the Instructor's Manual solutions for exercises on pages 100-103 and 223-224. This web page also provides expanded discussion of certain confusing points, as well as additional references. [Last updated on March 10, 2009.]

System dynamics resource page

• Support materials for the beer game production-distribution exercise
• Business Process Analysis Workshops: System Dynamics Models
• New Product Dynamics: Illustrative System Dynamics Models
• System Dynamics Methods: A Quick Introduction
• Systems Thinking: Managing the White Spaces in an Organization 
• Vensim PLE Quick Reference and Tutorial

Faculty bios and vitas

Craig W. Kirkwood
Donald L. Keefer

Related web sites

Decision Analysis Society of the Institute for Operations Research and the Management Sciences 
System dynamics mega link list
Arizona State University home page 
• Arizona State University Department of Supply Chain Management home page

Last updated March 10, 2009.

Craig W. Kirkwood (craig.kirkwood "AT" asu.edu)
Department of Supply Chain Management, Arizona State University, Tempe, AZ 85287-4706

Graphical browser count: [Show this image to be counted]